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icon for ¿OpenAI IPO por...?
Finanzas·OpenAI IPO

¿OpenAI IPO por...?

icon for ¿OpenAI IPO por...?
Finanzas·OpenAI IPO

¿OpenAI IPO por...?

$3,004,515 Vol.

31 mar 2027
Polymarket

$3,004,515 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre de 2026

$145,301 Vol.

<1%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$1,013,990 Vol.

3%

March 31, 2027

$643 Vol.

23%

30 de junio de 2027

$86 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement that an OpenAI IPO would be “ill-advised” in 2026 due to artificial intelligence safety and alignment priorities has become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. After a confidential SEC filing in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation and earlier talk of a late-2026 window, the company has shifted focus to private fundraising, with reports of a potential $1.5 trillion round. CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that a public listing is now expected in 2027 unless business metrics accelerate sharply. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel IPO preparations, recent large language model capability debates, and broader regulatory scrutiny around frontier AI systems add further uncertainty, keeping market-implied odds tilted against a 2026 debut.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,004,515
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement that an OpenAI IPO would be “ill-advised” in 2026 due to artificial intelligence safety and alignment priorities has become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. After a confidential SEC filing in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation and earlier talk of a late-2026 window, the company has shifted focus to private fundraising, with reports of a potential $1.5 trillion round. CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that a public listing is now expected in 2027 unless business metrics accelerate sharply. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel IPO preparations, recent large language model capability debates, and broader regulatory scrutiny around frontier AI systems add further uncertainty, keeping market-implied odds tilted against a 2026 debut.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,004,515
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿OpenAI IPO por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2027" con 57%, seguido de "March 31, 2027" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿OpenAI IPO por...?" ha generado $3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿OpenAI IPO por...?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿OpenAI IPO por...?" es "30 de junio de 2027" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "March 31, 2027" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿OpenAI IPO por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.