Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
2B–3B 30%
3B–4B 25.9%
4B–5B 5%
No IPO before 2028 4.3%
$88,186 Vol.
$88,186 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2B
1%
2B–3B
30%
3B–4B
27%
4B–5B
5%
5B–7B
1%
7B–10B
1%
10B–15B
2%
15B+
2%
No IPO before 2028
4%
2B–3B 30%
3B–4B 25.9%
4B–5B 5%
No IPO before 2028 4.3%
$88,186 Vol.
$88,186 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2B
$849 Vol.
1%
2B–3B
$54,301 Vol.
30%
3B–4B
$26,319 Vol.
27%
4B–5B
$1,234 Vol.
5%
5B–7B
$904 Vol.
1%
7B–10B
$1,006 Vol.
1%
10B–15B
$1,635 Vol.
2%
15B+
$1,317 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$621 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$88,186Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$88,186Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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