Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
93%
Demócrata
3%
$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$11,063 Vol.
93%
Demócrata
$9,117 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$20,179Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$20,179Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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