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Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

Market icon

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

45% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
45% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A federal judge in Florida dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its 2025 reporting on a purported lewd birthday letter to Jeffrey Epstein, ruling the complaint failed to plausibly allege actual malice required for public figures. The order granted leave to file an amended complaint by April 27, prompting Trump's legal team to announce plans for a refiled "powerhouse" case. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 55.5%, reflecting historical patterns where Trump's media suits often face early dismissal amid high First Amendment barriers, competing executive priorities, and no confirmed refiling two days post-ruling despite the stated intent.

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8
Fecha de finalización
27 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A federal judge in Florida dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its 2025 reporting on a purported lewd birthday letter to Jeffrey Epstein, ruling the complaint failed to plausibly allege actual malice required for public figures. The order granted leave to file an amended complaint by April 27, prompting Trump's legal team to announce plans for a refiled "powerhouse" case. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 55.5%, reflecting historical patterns where Trump's media suits often face early dismissal amid high First Amendment barriers, competing executive priorities, and no confirmed refiling two days post-ruling despite the stated intent.

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8
Fecha de finalización
27 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 45% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 45¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 13, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" es 45% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 45% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.