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Sports·FIDE

2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner

Market icon
Sports·FIDE

2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner

Zhu Jiner 33%

Kateryna Lagno 20%

Tan Zhongyi 18%

Bibisara Assaubayeva 17%

Polymarket
NEW

Zhu Jiner 33%

Kateryna Lagno 20%

Tan Zhongyi 18%

Bibisara Assaubayeva 17%

Polymarket
NEW

Zhu Jiner

$4 Vol.

33%

Kateryna Lagno

$1 Vol.

27%

Tan Zhongyi

$1 Vol.

18%

Bibisara Assaubayeva

$21 Vol.

25%

Aleksandra Goryachkina

$1 Vol.

21%

Vaishali R

$106 Vol.

10%

Divya Deshmukh

$1 Vol.

8%

Humoy Koneru

$78 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhu Jiner holds a slim market edge at 29.5% implied probability as the top-rated entrant at 2578 Elo, bolstered by back-to-back round 4-5 victories over Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu to reach 3/5 points in the double round-robin FIDE Women's Candidates. Kateryna Lagno (27%) and Bibisara Assaubayeva (27.5%) trail closely after Lagno's pivotal round 5 defeat of Assaubayeva, who had stunned Zhu in round 3 but slipped to 2.5 points; Aleksandra Goryachkina sits steady at 2.5. With nine rounds remaining and Anna Muzychuk (replacement for withdrawn Humpy Koneru) also at 3 points, early volatility and frequent draws keep the eight-player field tightly contested, reflecting trader caution in this challenger's tournament for the Women's World Championship.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$213
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhu Jiner holds a slim market edge at 29.5% implied probability as the top-rated entrant at 2578 Elo, bolstered by back-to-back round 4-5 victories over Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu to reach 3/5 points in the double round-robin FIDE Women's Candidates. Kateryna Lagno (27%) and Bibisara Assaubayeva (27.5%) trail closely after Lagno's pivotal round 5 defeat of Assaubayeva, who had stunned Zhu in round 3 but slipped to 2.5 points; Aleksandra Goryachkina sits steady at 2.5. With nine rounds remaining and Anna Muzychuk (replacement for withdrawn Humpy Koneru) also at 3 points, early volatility and frequent draws keep the eight-player field tightly contested, reflecting trader caution in this challenger's tournament for the Women's World Championship.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$213
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zhu Jiner" at 33%, followed by "Kateryna Lagno" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is "Zhu Jiner" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kateryna Lagno" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.