Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jon Rahm at 56% and Xander Schauffele at 54% implied probabilities to finish top 10 at The Masters, driven by their elite strokes gained/total metrics, multiple recent Augusta top-10s, and strong 2026 form—Rahm dominating LIV events and Schauffele leading PGA Tour top-10 money earners over the last three majors. Phil Mickelson's withdrawal four days ago due to a family health matter, alongside Tiger Woods' absence and Collin Morikawa's lack of competitive reps since a recent injury, slightly elevates the field's depth for contenders. Breezy Thursday conditions (ENE 10-15 mph gusting 20) with highs in the 70s favor accurate drivers like world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, while warmer weekend temps in the 80s could boost scoring on Augusta National's firm greens. Historical trends show nine of the last 10 winners posted a top-10 in one of their prior three starts, underscoring recent momentum's role past the cut line.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler
57%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
45%
Jon Rahm
64%
Xander Schauffele
58%
Fred Couples
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
50%
Jose Maria Olazabal
50%
Mateo Pulcini
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Vijay Singh
50%
Mike Weir
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Hao-Tong Li
47%
J.J. Spaun
47%
Alexander Noren
42%
Nicolas Echavarria
42%
Chris Gotterup
42%
Robert MacIntyre
39%
Sepp Straka
39%
Hideki Matsuyama
39%
Min Woo Lee
39%
Justin Rose
38%
Akshay Bhatia
38%
Jordan Spieth
37%
Patrick Reed
37%
Rory McIlroy
37%
Si Woo Kim
37%
Collin Morikawa
37%
Russell Henley
37%
Viktor Hovland
36%
Pongsapak Laopakdee
36%
Brooks Koepka
36%
Adam Scott
35%
Patrick Cantlay
35%
Shane Lowry
35%
Jake Knapp
34%
Justin Thomas
34%
Jason Day
34%
Jacob Bridgeman
34%
Corey Conners
34%
Nicolai Hojgaard
34%
Maverick McNealy
34%
Sung-Jae Im
33%
Sam Burns
32%
Harris English
32%
Tyrrell Hatton
32%
Marco Penge
32%
Cameron Smith
32%
Kurt Kitayama
32%
Gary Woodland
32%
Rasmus Hojgaard
31%
Ben Griffin
31%
Ryan Gerard
31%
Daniel Berger
31%
Harry Hall
30%
Max Homa
30%
Keegan Bradley
30%
Brian Harman
30%
Sam Stevens
30%
Wyndham Clark
30%
Ryan Fox
30%
Max Greyserman
30%
Casey Jarvis
30%
Aaron Rai
30%
Michael Kim
30%
Nick Taylor
30%
Matt McCarty
30%
Tom McKibbin
30%
Sergio Garcia
30%
Dustin Johnson
30%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
30%
Carlos Ortiz
30%
Michael Brennan
29%
Johnny Keefer
29%
Kristoffer Reitan
29%
Andrew Novak
29%
Aldrich Potgieter
29%
Sami Valimaki
29%
Bubba Watson
29%
Charl Schwartzel
28%
Zach Johnson
28%
Davis Riley
28%
Jackson Herrington
27%
Danny Willett
27%
Brian Campbell
26%
Mason Howell
26%
Angel Cabrera
26%
Brandon Holtz
26%
Naoyuki Kataoka
26%
Ethan Fang
26%
$579 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
57%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
45%
Jon Rahm
64%
Xander Schauffele
58%
Fred Couples
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
50%
Jose Maria Olazabal
50%
Mateo Pulcini
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Vijay Singh
50%
Mike Weir
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Hao-Tong Li
47%
J.J. Spaun
47%
Alexander Noren
42%
Nicolas Echavarria
42%
Chris Gotterup
42%
Robert MacIntyre
39%
Sepp Straka
39%
Hideki Matsuyama
39%
Min Woo Lee
39%
Justin Rose
38%
Akshay Bhatia
38%
Jordan Spieth
37%
Patrick Reed
37%
Rory McIlroy
37%
Si Woo Kim
37%
Collin Morikawa
37%
Russell Henley
37%
Viktor Hovland
36%
Pongsapak Laopakdee
36%
Brooks Koepka
36%
Adam Scott
35%
Patrick Cantlay
35%
Shane Lowry
35%
Jake Knapp
34%
Justin Thomas
34%
Jason Day
34%
Jacob Bridgeman
34%
Corey Conners
34%
Nicolai Hojgaard
34%
Maverick McNealy
34%
Sung-Jae Im
33%
Sam Burns
32%
Harris English
32%
Tyrrell Hatton
32%
Marco Penge
32%
Cameron Smith
32%
Kurt Kitayama
32%
Gary Woodland
32%
Rasmus Hojgaard
31%
Ben Griffin
31%
Ryan Gerard
31%
Daniel Berger
31%
Harry Hall
30%
Max Homa
30%
Keegan Bradley
30%
Brian Harman
30%
Sam Stevens
30%
Wyndham Clark
30%
Ryan Fox
30%
Max Greyserman
30%
Casey Jarvis
30%
Aaron Rai
30%
Michael Kim
30%
Nick Taylor
30%
Matt McCarty
30%
Tom McKibbin
30%
Sergio Garcia
30%
Dustin Johnson
30%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
30%
Carlos Ortiz
30%
Michael Brennan
29%
Johnny Keefer
29%
Kristoffer Reitan
29%
Andrew Novak
29%
Aldrich Potgieter
29%
Sami Valimaki
29%
Bubba Watson
29%
Charl Schwartzel
28%
Zach Johnson
28%
Davis Riley
28%
Jackson Herrington
27%
Danny Willett
27%
Brian Campbell
26%
Mason Howell
26%
Angel Cabrera
26%
Brandon Holtz
26%
Naoyuki Kataoka
26%
Ethan Fang
26%
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
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0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jon Rahm at 56% and Xander Schauffele at 54% implied probabilities to finish top 10 at The Masters, driven by their elite strokes gained/total metrics, multiple recent Augusta top-10s, and strong 2026 form—Rahm dominating LIV events and Schauffele leading PGA Tour top-10 money earners over the last three majors. Phil Mickelson's withdrawal four days ago due to a family health matter, alongside Tiger Woods' absence and Collin Morikawa's lack of competitive reps since a recent injury, slightly elevates the field's depth for contenders. Breezy Thursday conditions (ENE 10-15 mph gusting 20) with highs in the 70s favor accurate drivers like world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, while warmer weekend temps in the 80s could boost scoring on Augusta National's firm greens. Historical trends show nine of the last 10 winners posted a top-10 in one of their prior three starts, underscoring recent momentum's role past the cut line.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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