Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 13.5% implied probability reflects his elite Augusta National course history, including multiple green jacket wins, and strong 2026 PGA Tour form with victories like The American Express and top finishes at Pebble Beach and The Players, despite skipping last week's Houston Open for the birth of his second child. Bryson DeChambeau (7.0%) and Jon Rahm (7.8%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's back-to-back wins capped by a playoff triumph over Rahm in South Africa—while Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a career grand slam. Practice rounds underway amid partly cloudy, breezy conditions highlight a deep, competitive field keeping probabilities tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 14%
Jon Rahm 7.7%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$72,083,670 Vol.
$72,083,670 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
14%
Jon Rahm
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Min Woo Lee
3%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
J. J. Spaun
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Jason Day
1%
Harris English
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Sungjae Im
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Alexander Noren
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Gary Woodland
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Tom McKibbin
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Hao-Tong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Ramsus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Ethan Fang
<1%
Pongsapak Laopakdee
<1%
Naoyuki Kataoka
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 14%
Jon Rahm 7.7%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$72,083,670 Vol.
$72,083,670 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
14%
Jon Rahm
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Min Woo Lee
3%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
J. J. Spaun
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Jason Day
1%
Harris English
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Sungjae Im
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Alexander Noren
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Gary Woodland
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Tom McKibbin
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Hao-Tong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Ramsus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Ethan Fang
<1%
Pongsapak Laopakdee
<1%
Naoyuki Kataoka
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 13.5% implied probability reflects his elite Augusta National course history, including multiple green jacket wins, and strong 2026 PGA Tour form with victories like The American Express and top finishes at Pebble Beach and The Players, despite skipping last week's Houston Open for the birth of his second child. Bryson DeChambeau (7.0%) and Jon Rahm (7.8%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's back-to-back wins capped by a playoff triumph over Rahm in South Africa—while Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a career grand slam. Practice rounds underway amid partly cloudy, breezy conditions highlight a deep, competitive field keeping probabilities tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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