Trader consensus favors Atlético Madrid at 65% implied probability to win the Copa del Rey, reflecting their gritty 4-3 semifinal aggregate triumph over Barcelona—capped by a dominant 4-0 first-leg home win—and a recent 3-2 La Liga victory over Real Sociedad on March 7 that showcased Nico González and Griezmann's attacking threat. Real Sociedad trails closely at 59.5%, buoyed by their resolute 2-0 aggregate shutdown of Basque rivals Athletic Bilbao in the semis via clean sheets, plus captain Mikel Oyarzabal's timely recovery from hamstring concerns. With the single-leg final looming April 18 at neutral La Cartuja Stadium, Simeone's cup pedigree clashes against Pellegrino Matarazzo's revitalized Txuri-Urdin defense, injuries to Atleti's Barrios and Oblak doubt adding upset potential in this tight Basque-Madrid showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAtlético Madrid
68%
Real Sociedad
32%
Atlético Madrid
68%
Real Sociedad
32%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Del Rey per the rules of Copa Del Rey (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Del Rey; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Del Rey per the rules of Copa Del Rey (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Del Rey; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Atlético Madrid at 65% implied probability to win the Copa del Rey, reflecting their gritty 4-3 semifinal aggregate triumph over Barcelona—capped by a dominant 4-0 first-leg home win—and a recent 3-2 La Liga victory over Real Sociedad on March 7 that showcased Nico González and Griezmann's attacking threat. Real Sociedad trails closely at 59.5%, buoyed by their resolute 2-0 aggregate shutdown of Basque rivals Athletic Bilbao in the semis via clean sheets, plus captain Mikel Oyarzabal's timely recovery from hamstring concerns. With the single-leg final looming April 18 at neutral La Cartuja Stadium, Simeone's cup pedigree clashes against Pellegrino Matarazzo's revitalized Txuri-Urdin defense, injuries to Atleti's Barrios and Oblak doubt adding upset potential in this tight Basque-Madrid showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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