Xander Schauffele's two-shot lead after 54 holes at 11-under positions him as trader consensus favorite for a Valspar Championship top-10 finish, with implied probabilities reflecting his ball-striking dominance on the demanding Copperhead Course layout. Keith Mitchell and Nick Taylor lurk one back, their hot putters fueling momentum amid a bunched leaderboard where 11 players sit within four shots. Recent standout performances include Schauffele's top-10 strokes gained total tee-to-green, while fading contenders like Wyndham Clark contend with approach woes. Final-round pairings, windy conditions forecast, and course history—where repeat top-10s are rare—could spark volatility, underscoring the wisdom of crowds pricing close chasers higher amid upset potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$11,469 Vol.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
99%
Keegan Bradley
99%
Blades Brown
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Max Greyserman
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Billy Horschel
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
Michael Kim
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
John Parry
99%
Matthieu Pavon
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Matthias Schmid
99%
Isaiah Salinda
98%
Matt Fitzpatrick
82%
Chandler Blanchet
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Davis Chatfield
50%
Pierceson Coody
50%
Tony Finau
50%
Patrick Fishburn
50%
David Ford
50%
Lee Hodges
50%
Rasmus Hojgaard
50%
Mackenzie Hughes
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Stephan Jaeger
50%
Brooks Koepka
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
Chad Ramey
50%
Kevin Roy
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
William Mouw
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Keith Mitchell
3%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Chandler Phillips
51%
$11,469 Vol.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
99%
Keegan Bradley
99%
Blades Brown
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Max Greyserman
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Billy Horschel
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
Michael Kim
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
John Parry
99%
Matthieu Pavon
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Matthias Schmid
99%
Isaiah Salinda
98%
Matt Fitzpatrick
82%
Chandler Blanchet
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Davis Chatfield
50%
Pierceson Coody
50%
Tony Finau
50%
Patrick Fishburn
50%
David Ford
50%
Lee Hodges
50%
Rasmus Hojgaard
50%
Mackenzie Hughes
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Stephan Jaeger
50%
Brooks Koepka
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
Chad Ramey
50%
Kevin Roy
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
William Mouw
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Keith Mitchell
3%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Chandler Phillips
51%
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Xander Schauffele's two-shot lead after 54 holes at 11-under positions him as trader consensus favorite for a Valspar Championship top-10 finish, with implied probabilities reflecting his ball-striking dominance on the demanding Copperhead Course layout. Keith Mitchell and Nick Taylor lurk one back, their hot putters fueling momentum amid a bunched leaderboard where 11 players sit within four shots. Recent standout performances include Schauffele's top-10 strokes gained total tee-to-green, while fading contenders like Wyndham Clark contend with approach woes. Final-round pairings, windy conditions forecast, and course history—where repeat top-10s are rare—could spark volatility, underscoring the wisdom of crowds pricing close chasers higher amid upset potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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