Thorbjørn Olesen's one-shot lead at 14-under after a third-round 65 anchors his slight edge in trader consensus for the Valspar Championship, but four players—Emiliano Grillo, Mackenzie Hughes, and Patrick Fishburn at 13-under, plus Tom Kim, Andrew Novak, and Ze-Cheng Dou one stroke further back—keep the final-round market razor-tight on Copperhead's demanding layout. Olesen's elite ball-striking and hot irons have fueled his surge, while Grillo's putting prowess and Hughes' strong course history add volatility; Fishburn's surprise contention highlights the field's depth. With winds of 10-15 mph forecast and the treacherous Snake Pit closing holes, late missteps could swing the outcome, reflecting traders' wariness of Sunday chaos in this bunched leaderboard battle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSung-Jae Im 22.1%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.8%
Chandler Blanchet 7.9%
David Lipsky 7.4%
$137,990 Vol.
$137,990 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
13%
Chandler Blanchet
8%
David Lipsky
7%
Doug Ghim
6%
Brooks Koepka
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Corey Conners
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Davis Chatfield
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
David Ford
3%
Tony Finau
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
22%
Chad Ramey
21%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Kevin Roy
21%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
19%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Mackenzie Hughes
-
Tom Kim
-
Andrew Novak
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
Sung-Jae Im 22.1%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.8%
Chandler Blanchet 7.9%
David Lipsky 7.4%
$137,990 Vol.
$137,990 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
13%
Chandler Blanchet
8%
David Lipsky
7%
Doug Ghim
6%
Brooks Koepka
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Corey Conners
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Davis Chatfield
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
David Ford
3%
Tony Finau
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
22%
Chad Ramey
21%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Kevin Roy
21%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
19%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Mackenzie Hughes
-
Tom Kim
-
Andrew Novak
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Thorbjørn Olesen's one-shot lead at 14-under after a third-round 65 anchors his slight edge in trader consensus for the Valspar Championship, but four players—Emiliano Grillo, Mackenzie Hughes, and Patrick Fishburn at 13-under, plus Tom Kim, Andrew Novak, and Ze-Cheng Dou one stroke further back—keep the final-round market razor-tight on Copperhead's demanding layout. Olesen's elite ball-striking and hot irons have fueled his surge, while Grillo's putting prowess and Hughes' strong course history add volatility; Fishburn's surprise contention highlights the field's depth. With winds of 10-15 mph forecast and the treacherous Snake Pit closing holes, late missteps could swing the outcome, reflecting traders' wariness of Sunday chaos in this bunched leaderboard battle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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