Scottie Scheffler's title defense and world No. 1 status anchor trader consensus at 17.5% implied probability, bolstered by his full recovery from December hand surgery and unmatched Augusta record—wins in 2022 and 2024—despite a brief practice hiatus. Rory McIlroy trails at 9.5% amid Grand Slam pursuit and hot early 2025 form (wins at Dubai, Wells Fargo), though erratic putting has foiled past green jacket bids. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) and Jon Rahm (6.3%) leverage LIV power and major chops—DeChambeau's 2024 U.S. Open, Rahm's 2023 Masters triumph—while Ludvig Aberg's 5.9% reflects poise from runner-up debut last year. A wide-open field hinges on Augusta-specific tee-to-green mastery amid mild forecasts, with no major injuries shifting rosters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.3%
$50,332,912 Vol.
$50,332,912 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.3%
$50,332,912 Vol.
$50,332,912 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's title defense and world No. 1 status anchor trader consensus at 17.5% implied probability, bolstered by his full recovery from December hand surgery and unmatched Augusta record—wins in 2022 and 2024—despite a brief practice hiatus. Rory McIlroy trails at 9.5% amid Grand Slam pursuit and hot early 2025 form (wins at Dubai, Wells Fargo), though erratic putting has foiled past green jacket bids. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) and Jon Rahm (6.3%) leverage LIV power and major chops—DeChambeau's 2024 U.S. Open, Rahm's 2023 Masters triumph—while Ludvig Aberg's 5.9% reflects poise from runner-up debut last year. A wide-open field hinges on Augusta-specific tee-to-green mastery amid mild forecasts, with no major injuries shifting rosters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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