The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcelo Carvalho 44%
Professora Delliana 43%
Gregorio Gould 43%
Jaques Wagner 43%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Carvalho
44%
Professora Delliana
43%
Gregorio Gould
43%
Jaques Wagner
43%
Marcelo Millet
43%
Marcelo Santtana
43%
Rui Costa
43%
Carlos Sodré
43%
Angelo Coronel
42%
João Roma
41%
Marcelo Carvalho 44%
Professora Delliana 43%
Gregorio Gould 43%
Jaques Wagner 43%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Carvalho
$0 Vol.
44%
Professora Delliana
$0 Vol.
43%
Gregorio Gould
$0 Vol.
43%
Jaques Wagner
$0 Vol.
43%
Marcelo Millet
$0 Vol.
43%
Marcelo Santtana
$0 Vol.
43%
Rui Costa
$0 Vol.
43%
Carlos Sodré
$0 Vol.
43%
Angelo Coronel
$0 Vol.
42%
João Roma
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions