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Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11

Market icon

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11

Apr 6

Apr 6

Arirang - BTS 75%

Bully - Kanye West 51%

The Way I Am - Luke Combs 8.2%

One Thing at a Time - Morgan Wallen 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Arirang - BTS 75%

Bully - Kanye West 51%

The Way I Am - Luke Combs 8.2%

One Thing at a Time - Morgan Wallen 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Arirang - BTS

$419 Vol.

55%

Bully - Kanye West

$800 Vol.

35%

The Way I Am - Luke Combs

$235 Vol.

8%

One Thing at a Time - Morgan Wallen

$276 Vol.

16%

The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean

$330 Vol.

1%

Debí Tirar Más Fotos - Bad Bunny

$220 Vol.

1%

Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles

$350 Vol.

1%

The Romantic - Bruno Mars

$307 Vol.

1%

Octane - Don Toliver

$281 Vol.

1%

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives BTS' Arirang a 58.5% implied probability of topping the Billboard 200 for the week of April 11, buoyed by its record-shattering 641,000 first-week units—including 532,000 pure sales and the biggest vinyl week for any male artist—on the prior chart dated April 4. The K-pop juggernaut's lead single "Swim" dominating the Hot 100 has fueled sustained streaming momentum and ARMY-driven sales holds, outpacing Kanye West's Bully (35.5%), which launched with projected 250,000-275,000 units amid strong hip-hop buzz and features from Travis Scott and Don Toliver. Morgan Wallen's veteran One Thing at a Time (5.7%) and Bad Bunny's Debí Tirar Más Fotos (5.5%) lurk as long-shot holdovers, but midweek updates from Hits Daily Double underscore BTS' second-week edge ahead of Thursday's tracking close.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of April 11, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$3,219
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives BTS' Arirang a 58.5% implied probability of topping the Billboard 200 for the week of April 11, buoyed by its record-shattering 641,000 first-week units—including 532,000 pure sales and the biggest vinyl week for any male artist—on the prior chart dated April 4. The K-pop juggernaut's lead single "Swim" dominating the Hot 100 has fueled sustained streaming momentum and ARMY-driven sales holds, outpacing Kanye West's Bully (35.5%), which launched with projected 250,000-275,000 units amid strong hip-hop buzz and features from Travis Scott and Don Toliver. Morgan Wallen's veteran One Thing at a Time (5.7%) and Bad Bunny's Debí Tirar Más Fotos (5.5%) lurk as long-shot holdovers, but midweek updates from Hits Daily Double underscore BTS' second-week edge ahead of Thursday's tracking close.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of April 11, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$3,219
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arirang - BTS" at 55%, followed by "Bully - Kanye West" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11" is "Arirang - BTS" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bully - Kanye West" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 11" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.