Market icon

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11

Market icon

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11

Apr 6

Apr 6

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 85%

SWIM - BTS 15.5%

So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean <1%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$10,886 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 85%

SWIM - BTS 15.5%

So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean <1%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$10,886 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$5,383 Vol.

85%

SWIM - BTS

$2,965 Vol.

16%

So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean

$240 Vol.

<1%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift

$237 Vol.

<1%

Stateside - PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson

$313 Vol.

<1%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

$650 Vol.

<1%

I Just Might - Bruno Mars

$250 Vol.

<1%

Ordinary - Alex Warren

$286 Vol.

<1%

Golden - HUNTR/X

$307 Vol.

<1%

Father - Kanye West ft. Travis Scott

$255 Vol.

<1%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands an 83.5% implied probability as the next Billboard Hot 100 #1 for the week of April 11, fueled by mid-week tracking data revealing a commanding lead of over 20 chart points ahead of BTS' "SWIM," which debuted atop the April 4 chart on massive streaming and sales but now risks a typical K-pop second-week drop-off due to lighter radio support. The country crossover anthem, already logging four prior weeks at #1 across multiple runs since February, sustains momentum through robust airplay, steady Spotify streams, and fan-driven sales, per predictors like Talk of the Charts. BTS clings to 15.4% trader consensus on residual debut buzz, while dark horses like Olivia Dean's "Man I Need" and Bruno Mars' "I Just Might" lurk low amid stagnant metrics; final Friday-Sunday consumption will decide any late shifts before Tuesday's chart reveal.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$10,886
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands an 83.5% implied probability as the next Billboard Hot 100 #1 for the week of April 11, fueled by mid-week tracking data revealing a commanding lead of over 20 chart points ahead of BTS' "SWIM," which debuted atop the April 4 chart on massive streaming and sales but now risks a typical K-pop second-week drop-off due to lighter radio support. The country crossover anthem, already logging four prior weeks at #1 across multiple runs since February, sustains momentum through robust airplay, steady Spotify streams, and fan-driven sales, per predictors like Talk of the Charts. BTS clings to 15.4% trader consensus on residual debut buzz, while dark horses like Olivia Dean's "Man I Need" and Bruno Mars' "I Just Might" lurk low amid stagnant metrics; final Friday-Sunday consumption will decide any late shifts before Tuesday's chart reveal.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$10,886
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Related

Market icon

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

90%
Market icon

Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?

51%
Market icon

Will Tyler, The Creator be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

29%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 85%, followed by "SWIM - BTS" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SWIM - BTS" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.