Trader consensus prices Atlético Madrid at 53.5% implied probability to win the Copa del Rey final against Real Sociedad at Seville's neutral La Cartuja Stadium, driven by their unbeaten record across the last nine head-to-heads, including a gritty 3-2 La Liga victory on March 7 amid defensive lapses. Recent squad announcements highlight mutual injury concerns: Atlético without key defender Josema Giménez (muscle) and midfielder Pablo Barrios (thigh), with David Hancko doubtful, while Real Sociedad misses Igor Zubeldia, Álvaro Odriozola, and Iñaki Rupérez but regains Jon Gorrotxategi and Yangel Herrera. The draw at 26.5% reflects finals' frequent tight contests and extra-time risks, positioning Sociedad's 20.5% as competitive underdog value given their semifinal run and recent competitiveness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.rfef.es/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.rfef.es/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Atlético Madrid at 53.5% implied probability to win the Copa del Rey final against Real Sociedad at Seville's neutral La Cartuja Stadium, driven by their unbeaten record across the last nine head-to-heads, including a gritty 3-2 La Liga victory on March 7 amid defensive lapses. Recent squad announcements highlight mutual injury concerns: Atlético without key defender Josema Giménez (muscle) and midfielder Pablo Barrios (thigh), with David Hancko doubtful, while Real Sociedad misses Igor Zubeldia, Álvaro Odriozola, and Iñaki Rupérez but regains Jon Gorrotxategi and Yangel Herrera. The draw at 26.5% reflects finals' frequent tight contests and extra-time risks, positioning Sociedad's 20.5% as competitive underdog value given their semifinal run and recent competitiveness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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