Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding lead in the June 30 Colorado Democratic Senate primary due to high name recognition as the sitting senator and former governor, petition-based ballot access, and consistent support from party establishment donors and voters. Recent polling from early June shows his advantage narrowing to the low 40s against state Sen. Julie Gonzales, yet Hickenlooper remains the clear frontrunner among likely primary participants. Gonzales secured strong delegate backing at the state assembly but trails in broader surveys, with other listed challengers eliminated or registering negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Hickenlooper over 90% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring incumbents in low-turnout primaries unless major shifts in mobilization or messaging occur in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжон Хикенлупер 93.2%
Джули Гонзалес 7.5%
Брашад Хасли <1%
Майкл Сканлон <1%
$53,992 Объем
$53,992 Объем
Джон Хикенлупер
93%
Джули Гонзалес
8%
Брашад Хасли
<1%
Майкл Сканлон
<1%
Карен Бреслин
<1%
Никол Минер
<1%
Энтони Цимфер
<1%
Джон Хикенлупер 93.2%
Джули Гонзалес 7.5%
Брашад Хасли <1%
Майкл Сканлон <1%
$53,992 Объем
$53,992 Объем
Джон Хикенлупер
93%
Джули Гонзалес
8%
Брашад Хасли
<1%
Майкл Сканлон
<1%
Карен Бреслин
<1%
Никол Минер
<1%
Энтони Цимфер
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding lead in the June 30 Colorado Democratic Senate primary due to high name recognition as the sitting senator and former governor, petition-based ballot access, and consistent support from party establishment donors and voters. Recent polling from early June shows his advantage narrowing to the low 40s against state Sen. Julie Gonzales, yet Hickenlooper remains the clear frontrunner among likely primary participants. Gonzales secured strong delegate backing at the state assembly but trails in broader surveys, with other listed challengers eliminated or registering negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Hickenlooper over 90% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring incumbents in low-turnout primaries unless major shifts in mobilization or messaging occur in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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