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Sports·Formula 1

Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

icon for Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Pierre Gasly <1%

Fernando Alonso <1%

Alexander Albon <1%

Polymarket

$138,628 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Pierre Gasly <1%

Fernando Alonso <1%

Alexander Albon <1%

Polymarket

$138,628 Vol.

Pierre Gasly

$432 Vol.

No

Fernando Alonso

$432 Vol.

No

Alexander Albon

$432 Vol.

No

Gabriel Bortoleto

$439 Vol.

No

Sergio Perez

$432 Vol.

No

Charles Leclerc

$12,743 Vol.

No

Esteban Ocon

$427 Vol.

No

Lando Norris

$13,370 Vol.

No

Franco Colapinto

$429 Vol.

No

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$415 Vol.

No

Nico Hulkenberg

$415 Vol.

No

Valtteri Bottas

$523 Vol.

No

Lewis Hamilton

$12,631 Vol.

No

George Russell

$12,839 Vol.

No

Arvid Lindblad

$3,739 Vol.

No

Isack Hadjar

$2,620 Vol.

No

Kimi Antonelli

$41,632 Vol.

Yes

Max Verstappen

$26,716 Vol.

No

Oliver Bearman

$285 Vol.

No

Oscar Piastri

$6,813 Vol.

No

Liam Lawson

$432 Vol.

No

Lance Stroll

$432 Vol.

No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 18, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 25, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Belgian Grand Prix pole position market at Spa-Francorchamps remains tightly bunched with all listed drivers priced at 50% implied probability, reflecting substantial uncertainty a month ahead of the July event. The demanding high-speed layout, with its elevation changes, long straights, and variable Ardennes weather, places a premium on car balance, power unit performance, and single-lap execution that can shift quickly with setup tweaks or track evolution. Current 2026 championship form shows Mercedes drivers Kimi Antonelli, George Russell, and Lewis Hamilton leading the standings, while McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, plus Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, bring strong recent qualifying credentials. Late-season development battles, tire allocation strategies, and potential rain-affected sessions add further variables that keep the field highly competitive heading into practice.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 18, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 25, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$138,628
End Date
Jul 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 18, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 25, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 18, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 25, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Belgian Grand Prix pole position market at Spa-Francorchamps remains tightly bunched with all listed drivers priced at 50% implied probability, reflecting substantial uncertainty a month ahead of the July event. The demanding high-speed layout, with its elevation changes, long straights, and variable Ardennes weather, places a premium on car balance, power unit performance, and single-lap execution that can shift quickly with setup tweaks or track evolution. Current 2026 championship form shows Mercedes drivers Kimi Antonelli, George Russell, and Lewis Hamilton leading the standings, while McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, plus Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, bring strong recent qualifying credentials. Late-season development battles, tire allocation strategies, and potential rain-affected sessions add further variables that keep the field highly competitive heading into practice.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 18, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 25, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$138,628
End Date
Jul 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 18, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 25, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, followed by "Pierre Gasly" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" has generated $138.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre Gasly" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.