Scotland's 66.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their superior FIFA ranking (43rd vs. Haiti's 83rd), deeper squad with Premier League and Championship experience, and motivation in a tough Group C opener against Brazil and Morocco. Recent March friendlies highlight Scotland's defensive solidity in narrow losses to Japan (0-1) and Côte d'Ivoire (0-1) following a 7-0 rout of Luxembourg, while Haiti suffered a 0-1 defeat to Tunisia exposing attacking limitations. Key injuries include Scotland striker Lawrence Shankland's hamstring strain (nearing recovery by mid-April) and Haiti's defender Carlens Arcus sidelined, bolstering Scotland's edge at neutral Gillette Stadium despite underdog upset potential in World Cup group stages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scotland's 66.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their superior FIFA ranking (43rd vs. Haiti's 83rd), deeper squad with Premier League and Championship experience, and motivation in a tough Group C opener against Brazil and Morocco. Recent March friendlies highlight Scotland's defensive solidity in narrow losses to Japan (0-1) and Côte d'Ivoire (0-1) following a 7-0 rout of Luxembourg, while Haiti suffered a 0-1 defeat to Tunisia exposing attacking limitations. Key injuries include Scotland striker Lawrence Shankland's hamstring strain (nearing recovery by mid-April) and Haiti's defender Carlens Arcus sidelined, bolstering Scotland's edge at neutral Gillette Stadium despite underdog upset potential in World Cup group stages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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