A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVanderlan Cardoso 26%
Gracinha Caiado 23%
Cintia Dias 23%
Ernesto Roller 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Vanderlan Cardoso
26%
Gracinha Caiado
23%
Cintia Dias
23%
Ernesto Roller
22%
Isaura Lemos
22%
Gustavo Mendanha
22%
Gustavo Gayer
22%
Iure Castro
22%
Oséias Varão
22%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
21%
Guilherme Darques
21%
Vanderlan Cardoso 26%
Gracinha Caiado 23%
Cintia Dias 23%
Ernesto Roller 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Vanderlan Cardoso
$0 Vol.
26%
Gracinha Caiado
$0 Vol.
23%
Cintia Dias
$0 Vol.
23%
Ernesto Roller
$0 Vol.
22%
Isaura Lemos
$0 Vol.
22%
Gustavo Mendanha
$0 Vol.
22%
Gustavo Gayer
$0 Vol.
22%
Iure Castro
$0 Vol.
22%
Oséias Varão
$0 Vol.
22%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$0 Vol.
21%
Guilherme Darques
$0 Vol.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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