Multiple viable contenders for second place in the October 2026 Paraíba Senate race, including João Azevêdo, Major Fábio, Marcelo Queiroga, Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, and several others, have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near 40-45 percent amid a field of roughly ten registered candidates. Recent official candidate filings and mid-2026 surveys showing Azevêdo leading overall but with Veneziano and Queiroga competitive behind him have sustained uncertainty about who secures the second seat alongside the frontrunner. Fragmented opposition alliances, persistent high shares of undecided voters, and limited differentiation on key state issues continue to prevent any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively in trader assessments. Upcoming debates and further polling before election day could shift positioning if they clarify voter preferences among the mid-tier names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedParaíba Senate Election: 2nd Place
Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place
Nabor 26%
Rinaldo Júnior 26%
Veneziano 26%
Rosilene Santana 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Nabor
26%
Rinaldo Júnior
26%
Veneziano
26%
Rosilene Santana
26%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
24%
Joao Azevêdo
24%
Major Fábio
24%
Adriano Trajano
24%
André Gadelha
24%
João Batista
23%
Nabor 26%
Rinaldo Júnior 26%
Veneziano 26%
Rosilene Santana 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Nabor
$0 Vol.
26%
Rinaldo Júnior
$0 Vol.
26%
Veneziano
$0 Vol.
26%
Rosilene Santana
$0 Vol.
26%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$0 Vol.
24%
Joao Azevêdo
$0 Vol.
24%
Major Fábio
$0 Vol.
24%
Adriano Trajano
$0 Vol.
24%
André Gadelha
$0 Vol.
24%
João Batista
$0 Vol.
23%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple viable contenders for second place in the October 2026 Paraíba Senate race, including João Azevêdo, Major Fábio, Marcelo Queiroga, Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, and several others, have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near 40-45 percent amid a field of roughly ten registered candidates. Recent official candidate filings and mid-2026 surveys showing Azevêdo leading overall but with Veneziano and Queiroga competitive behind him have sustained uncertainty about who secures the second seat alongside the frontrunner. Fragmented opposition alliances, persistent high shares of undecided voters, and limited differentiation on key state issues continue to prevent any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively in trader assessments. Upcoming debates and further polling before election day could shift positioning if they clarify voter preferences among the mid-tier names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple viable contenders for second place in the October 2026 Paraíba Senate race, including João Azevêdo, Major Fábio, Marcelo Queiroga, Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, and several others, have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near 40-45 percent amid a field of roughly ten registered candidates. Recent official candidate filings and mid-2026 surveys showing Azevêdo leading overall but with Veneziano and Queiroga competitive behind him have sustained uncertainty about who secures the second seat alongside the frontrunner. Fragmented opposition alliances, persistent high shares of undecided voters, and limited differentiation on key state issues continue to prevent any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively in trader assessments. Upcoming debates and further polling before election day could shift positioning if they clarify voter preferences among the mid-tier names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple viable contenders for second place in the October 2026 Paraíba Senate race, including João Azevêdo, Major Fábio, Marcelo Queiroga, Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, and several others, have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near 40-45 percent amid a field of roughly ten registered candidates. Recent official candidate filings and mid-2026 surveys showing Azevêdo leading overall but with Veneziano and Queiroga competitive behind him have sustained uncertainty about who secures the second seat alongside the frontrunner. Fragmented opposition alliances, persistent high shares of undecided voters, and limited differentiation on key state issues continue to prevent any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively in trader assessments. Upcoming debates and further polling before election day could shift positioning if they clarify voter preferences among the mid-tier names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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