Current forecasts from meteorological models place Amsterdam's June 3 high near 20°C, reflecting typical early-summer North Sea air masses and modest Atlantic influence that keep daily maxima clustered between 18–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, though variable cloud cover and possible light showers introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Historical climatology supports this range, with June averages around 19°C and low interannual variability this early in the season. Trader consensus aligns with these near-term model runs, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 19–21°C outcomes while discounting extremes given the narrow forecast window and absence of unusual synoptic drivers. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine the precise maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 3?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$69,573 交易量
$69,573 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$69,573 交易量
$69,573 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 1, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models place Amsterdam's June 3 high near 20°C, reflecting typical early-summer North Sea air masses and modest Atlantic influence that keep daily maxima clustered between 18–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, though variable cloud cover and possible light showers introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Historical climatology supports this range, with June averages around 19°C and low interannual variability this early in the season. Trader consensus aligns with these near-term model runs, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 19–21°C outcomes while discounting extremes given the narrow forecast window and absence of unusual synoptic drivers. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine the precise maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions