Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月6日吉達的最高溫度？
7月6日吉達的最高溫度？
39°C 100.0%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$76,290 交易量
$76,290 交易量
2026-07-06
31°C或以下
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
是
40°C
否
41°C或更高
否
39°C 100.0%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$76,290 交易量
$76,290 交易量
2026-07-06
31°C或以下
$1,945 交易量
否
32°C
$1,396 交易量
否
33°C
$4,900 交易量
否
34°C
$5,002 交易量
否
35°C
$4,865 交易量
否
36°C
$11,393 交易量
否
37°C
$12,301 交易量
否
38°C
$7,246 交易量
否
39°C
$7,658 交易量
是
40°C
$4,558 交易量
否
41°C或更高
$15,027 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$76,290結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76,290結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions