Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 24?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 Vol.
$89,000 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 Vol.
$89,000 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
6°C or below
$754 Vol.
No
7°C
$3,538 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,422 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,745 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,355 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,646 Vol.
No
12°C
$11,581 Vol.
No
13°C
$12,478 Vol.
No
14°C
$14,032 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$17,024 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$15,426 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$89,000End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,000End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions