Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring Ankara have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for June 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Recent data show clear skies, light winds, and temperatures climbing steadily to this threshold by afternoon without exceeding it, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where highs average near 25°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified station readings rather than projections. A late surge from unexpected solar heating or a station-specific anomaly could theoretically alter the official tally, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,366 交易量
$58,366 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,366 交易量
$58,366 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring Ankara have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for June 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Recent data show clear skies, light winds, and temperatures climbing steadily to this threshold by afternoon without exceeding it, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where highs average near 25°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified station readings rather than projections. A late surge from unexpected solar heating or a station-specific anomaly could theoretically alter the official tally, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题