Singapore's July maximum temperatures typically average 31.4°C at the climate station, with historical daily highs clustering between 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Trader odds favor 31°C or 30°C because afternoon thundery showers—common in early July—often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while El Niño conditions developing in mid-2026 are expected to produce above-average warmth and reduced rainfall overall. Model consensus and recent June patterns show high sensitivity to exact timing of convection, creating tight spreads among the leading outcomes and underscoring the value of updated National Environment Agency guidance closer to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡7月2日的最高温度?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$142,627 交易量
$142,627 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$142,627 交易量
$142,627 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Singapore's July maximum temperatures typically average 31.4°C at the climate station, with historical daily highs clustering between 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Trader odds favor 31°C or 30°C because afternoon thundery showers—common in early July—often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while El Niño conditions developing in mid-2026 are expected to produce above-average warmth and reduced rainfall overall. Model consensus and recent June patterns show high sensitivity to exact timing of convection, creating tight spreads among the leading outcomes and underscoring the value of updated National Environment Agency guidance closer to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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