**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 high temperature centers on typical early-summer climatology, with models and recent observations favoring a peak near 31°C.** Beijing's June averages place daytime maxima around 30–31°C under increasing solar insolation and monsoon influence, though urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover can shift the actual reading by 1–2°C. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions that may limit afternoon heating, supporting the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the North China Plain, and any late-day convective development that could cap or enhance the peak. With probabilities closely matched, traders are weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads, which historically resolve near the seasonal mean absent strong synoptic forcing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$114,615 Vol.
$114,615 Vol.
18 jun 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$114,615 Vol.
$114,615 Vol.
18 jun 2026
26°C or below
$4,870 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,861 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,997 Vol.
No
29°C
$28,885 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$16,389 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,259 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,467 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,724 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,671 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,449 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,042 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 high temperature centers on typical early-summer climatology, with models and recent observations favoring a peak near 31°C.** Beijing's June averages place daytime maxima around 30–31°C under increasing solar insolation and monsoon influence, though urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover can shift the actual reading by 1–2°C. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions that may limit afternoon heating, supporting the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the North China Plain, and any late-day convective development that could cap or enhance the peak. With probabilities closely matched, traders are weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads, which historically resolve near the seasonal mean absent strong synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$114,615Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 high temperature centers on typical early-summer climatology, with models and recent observations favoring a peak near 31°C.** Beijing's June averages place daytime maxima around 30–31°C under increasing solar insolation and monsoon influence, though urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover can shift the actual reading by 1–2°C. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions that may limit afternoon heating, supporting the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the North China Plain, and any late-day convective development that could cap or enhance the peak. With probabilities closely matched, traders are weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads, which historically resolve near the seasonal mean absent strong synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114,615Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 high temperature centers on typical early-summer climatology, with models and recent observations favoring a peak near 31°C.** Beijing's June averages place daytime maxima around 30–31°C under increasing solar insolation and monsoon influence, though urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover can shift the actual reading by 1–2°C. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions that may limit afternoon heating, supporting the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the North China Plain, and any late-day convective development that could cap or enhance the peak. With probabilities closely matched, traders are weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads, which historically resolve near the seasonal mean absent strong synoptic forcing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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