Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 28 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 28 de junho?
26,7-27,2°C 100.0%
75°F ou menos <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$60,874 Vol.
$60,874 Vol.
28 jun 2026
75°F ou menos
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
26,7-27,2°C
Sim
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-33°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94°F ou mais
Não
26,7-27,2°C 100.0%
75°F ou menos <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$60,874 Vol.
$60,874 Vol.
28 jun 2026
75°F ou menos
$10,920 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$3,554 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$6,353 Vol.
Não
26,7-27,2°C
$7,012 Vol.
Sim
82-83°F
$6,801 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$6,700 Vol.
Não
30-31°C
$4,447 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$5,905 Vol.
Não
32-33°C
$4,927 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$2,504 Vol.
Não
94°F ou mais
$1,752 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$60,874Data de Término
28 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,874Data de Término
28 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions