Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on May 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 12?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$133,275 Vol.
$133,275 Vol.
12 mai 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$133,275 Vol.
$133,275 Vol.
12 mai 2026
29°C or below
$19,006 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,440 Vol.
No
31°C
$19,244 Vol.
No
32°C
$23,844 Vol.
No
33°C
$18,088 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$12,343 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,598 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,247 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,585 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,866 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,015 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$133,275Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$133,275Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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