Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24 clustering around 16–18 °C because mid-winter synoptic conditions favor modest daytime maxima near the long-term June average of 17 °C. Global models indicate a weak high-pressure ridge ahead of the next cold front, allowing limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies while the Benguela Current and onshore flow suppress stronger warming. Small differences in front timing, wind shift from northwest to southeast, and low-level moisture determine whether the daily peak reaches 18 °C or stays at 16 °C, creating the tight spread across outcomes. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 24?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,693 Vol.
$33,693 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,693 Vol.
$33,693 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
12°C or below
$175 Vol.
No
13°C
$282 Vol.
No
14°C
$956 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,304 Vol.
No
16°C
$12,446 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,289 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$3,193 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,896 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,205 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,730 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$1,217 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24 clustering around 16–18 °C because mid-winter synoptic conditions favor modest daytime maxima near the long-term June average of 17 °C. Global models indicate a weak high-pressure ridge ahead of the next cold front, allowing limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies while the Benguela Current and onshore flow suppress stronger warming. Small differences in front timing, wind shift from northwest to southeast, and low-level moisture determine whether the daily peak reaches 18 °C or stays at 16 °C, creating the tight spread across outcomes. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$33,693End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24 clustering around 16–18 °C because mid-winter synoptic conditions favor modest daytime maxima near the long-term June average of 17 °C. Global models indicate a weak high-pressure ridge ahead of the next cold front, allowing limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies while the Benguela Current and onshore flow suppress stronger warming. Small differences in front timing, wind shift from northwest to southeast, and low-level moisture determine whether the daily peak reaches 18 °C or stays at 16 °C, creating the tight spread across outcomes. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,693End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24 clustering around 16–18 °C because mid-winter synoptic conditions favor modest daytime maxima near the long-term June average of 17 °C. Global models indicate a weak high-pressure ridge ahead of the next cold front, allowing limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies while the Benguela Current and onshore flow suppress stronger warming. Small differences in front timing, wind shift from northwest to southeast, and low-level moisture determine whether the daily peak reaches 18 °C or stays at 16 °C, creating the tight spread across outcomes. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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