Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 18?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$77,669 Vol.
$77,669 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$77,669 Vol.
$77,669 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
$750 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,456 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,154 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,695 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,506 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,856 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,390 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,212 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,170 Vol.
No
34°C
$16,334 Vol.
Yes
35°C or higher
$10,146 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$77,669End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77,669End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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