Traders have converged on 26°C as the highest temperature in Chongqing on June 2 with near-certainty because official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from regional weather services align precisely on this value for the day's maximum. In Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate, early June highs typically average near 28–29°C, yet persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers have suppressed daytime warming today, keeping the peak at this level according to real-time station data. This outcome reflects the market's aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments of verifiable measurements rather than long-term averages. Scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to late-day measurement revisions or microscale variations at the official reporting station, though current model consensus shows low uncertainty in this timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 2?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$90,674 交易量
$90,674 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$90,674 交易量
$90,674 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 26°C as the highest temperature in Chongqing on June 2 with near-certainty because official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from regional weather services align precisely on this value for the day's maximum. In Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate, early June highs typically average near 28–29°C, yet persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers have suppressed daytime warming today, keeping the peak at this level according to real-time station data. This outcome reflects the market's aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments of verifiable measurements rather than long-term averages. Scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to late-day measurement revisions or microscale variations at the official reporting station, though current model consensus shows low uncertainty in this timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions