Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and aligned numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on June 9, supported by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze that restricted solar heating amid typical early-summer humidity levels exceeding 80 percent. These conditions aligned with seasonal baselines for the region, where June maxima often reach 30–32°C under clearer skies but are suppressed by persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Trader consensus at near-100 percent implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects high confidence in official station readings, with only modest upside risk from any late-afternoon clearing that failed to materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$341,920 Vol.
$341,920 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$341,920 Vol.
$341,920 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
23°C or below
$11,127 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,711 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,099 Vol.
No
26°C
$18,247 Vol.
No
27°C
$84,812 Vol.
No
28°C
$43,866 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$53,628 Vol.
No
30°C
$42,158 Vol.
No
31°C
$25,741 Vol.
No
32°C
$28,339 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$19,192 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and aligned numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on June 9, supported by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze that restricted solar heating amid typical early-summer humidity levels exceeding 80 percent. These conditions aligned with seasonal baselines for the region, where June maxima often reach 30–32°C under clearer skies but are suppressed by persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Trader consensus at near-100 percent implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects high confidence in official station readings, with only modest upside risk from any late-afternoon clearing that failed to materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$341,920End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and aligned numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on June 9, supported by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze that restricted solar heating amid typical early-summer humidity levels exceeding 80 percent. These conditions aligned with seasonal baselines for the region, where June maxima often reach 30–32°C under clearer skies but are suppressed by persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Trader consensus at near-100 percent implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects high confidence in official station readings, with only modest upside risk from any late-afternoon clearing that failed to materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$341,920End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and aligned numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on June 9, supported by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze that restricted solar heating amid typical early-summer humidity levels exceeding 80 percent. These conditions aligned with seasonal baselines for the region, where June maxima often reach 30–32°C under clearer skies but are suppressed by persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Trader consensus at near-100 percent implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects high confidence in official station readings, with only modest upside risk from any late-afternoon clearing that failed to materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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