Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 15?
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
86°F or higher 10%
NEW
$12,392 Vol.
NEW
$12,392 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
30%
86°F or higher
10%
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
86°F or higher 10%
NEW
$12,392 Vol.
NEW
$12,392 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
67°F or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$457 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,231 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$658 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$825 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,721 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$1,252 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$1,200 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$1,233 Vol.
30%
86°F or higher
$1,457 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$12,392End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,392End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions