Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 84-85°F, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models that projected mid-80s peaks amid southerly winds, high humidity above 70%, and scattered clouds capping further warming. This steamy setup followed hotter days in the upper 80s to low 90s but preceded a cooling front with evening storms, limiting diurnal heating as anticipated. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of short-range numerical weather prediction accuracy, with market-implied odds at 100% for 84-85°F. Rare challenges could arise from NOAA quality-control revisions to automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases historically.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 29?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 29?
84-85°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$74,322 Vol.
$74,322 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$74,322 Vol.
$74,322 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
69°F or below
$1,144 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,682 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,814 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,598 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,803 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,979 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$9,388 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$10,900 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$13,355 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$8,727 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$14,932 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 84-85°F, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models that projected mid-80s peaks amid southerly winds, high humidity above 70%, and scattered clouds capping further warming. This steamy setup followed hotter days in the upper 80s to low 90s but preceded a cooling front with evening storms, limiting diurnal heating as anticipated. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of short-range numerical weather prediction accuracy, with market-implied odds at 100% for 84-85°F. Rare challenges could arise from NOAA quality-control revisions to automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases historically.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$74,322End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 84-85°F, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models that projected mid-80s peaks amid southerly winds, high humidity above 70%, and scattered clouds capping further warming. This steamy setup followed hotter days in the upper 80s to low 90s but preceded a cooling front with evening storms, limiting diurnal heating as anticipated. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of short-range numerical weather prediction accuracy, with market-implied odds at 100% for 84-85°F. Rare challenges could arise from NOAA quality-control revisions to automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases historically.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,322End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 84-85°F, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models that projected mid-80s peaks amid southerly winds, high humidity above 70%, and scattered clouds capping further warming. This steamy setup followed hotter days in the upper 80s to low 90s but preceded a cooling front with evening storms, limiting diurnal heating as anticipated. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of short-range numerical weather prediction accuracy, with market-implied odds at 100% for 84-85°F. Rare challenges could arise from NOAA quality-control revisions to automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases historically.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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