Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather project Istanbul's July 18 high near 29–30°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with clear skies and light northerly winds supporting modest daytime heating. Sea breezes along the Bosphorus and Golden Horn frequently cap peaks below regional models, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the 28–30°C band. Historical July averages hover at 28–29°C, and the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps outcomes closely clustered, as traders weigh short-range model runs against local microclimate variability two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 18?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$25,899 Vol.
$25,899 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$25,899 Vol.
$25,899 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
24°C or below
$578 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,993 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,573 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,862 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,806 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$3,683 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,971 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,149 Vol.
No
32°C
$840 Vol.
No
33°C
$219 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$225 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather project Istanbul's July 18 high near 29–30°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with clear skies and light northerly winds supporting modest daytime heating. Sea breezes along the Bosphorus and Golden Horn frequently cap peaks below regional models, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the 28–30°C band. Historical July averages hover at 28–29°C, and the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps outcomes closely clustered, as traders weigh short-range model runs against local microclimate variability two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$25,899End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather project Istanbul's July 18 high near 29–30°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with clear skies and light northerly winds supporting modest daytime heating. Sea breezes along the Bosphorus and Golden Horn frequently cap peaks below regional models, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the 28–30°C band. Historical July averages hover at 28–29°C, and the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps outcomes closely clustered, as traders weigh short-range model runs against local microclimate variability two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,899End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather project Istanbul's July 18 high near 29–30°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with clear skies and light northerly winds supporting modest daytime heating. Sea breezes along the Bosphorus and Golden Horn frequently cap peaks below regional models, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the 28–30°C band. Historical July averages hover at 28–29°C, and the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps outcomes closely clustered, as traders weigh short-range model runs against local microclimate variability two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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