Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$43,890 Vol.
$43,890 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$43,890 Vol.
$43,890 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
18°C or below
$471 Vol.
No
19°C
$615 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,833 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,296 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,774 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,057 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,671 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,003 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,222 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,784 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,163 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$43,890End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,890End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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