Official meteorological observations from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with long-term June climatology of 24–26°C highs and recent model guidance showing limited warming under typical early-summer conditions. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data, consistent across multiple monitoring networks and unaffected by unusual synoptic patterns such as strong high-pressure systems or anomalous moisture transport. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range once observations are finalized, with resolution hinging on standardized daily maximum criteria. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post-hoc data revisions, station-specific microclimate differences, or definitional disputes over the exact observation window, though historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 15?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$33,392 Vol.
$33,392 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$33,392 Vol.
$33,392 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
20°C or below
$201 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,422 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,063 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,616 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,127 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,927 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$3,335 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,980 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,247 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,646 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$827 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with long-term June climatology of 24–26°C highs and recent model guidance showing limited warming under typical early-summer conditions. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data, consistent across multiple monitoring networks and unaffected by unusual synoptic patterns such as strong high-pressure systems or anomalous moisture transport. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range once observations are finalized, with resolution hinging on standardized daily maximum criteria. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post-hoc data revisions, station-specific microclimate differences, or definitional disputes over the exact observation window, though historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$33,392End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with long-term June climatology of 24–26°C highs and recent model guidance showing limited warming under typical early-summer conditions. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data, consistent across multiple monitoring networks and unaffected by unusual synoptic patterns such as strong high-pressure systems or anomalous moisture transport. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range once observations are finalized, with resolution hinging on standardized daily maximum criteria. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post-hoc data revisions, station-specific microclimate differences, or definitional disputes over the exact observation window, though historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,392End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with long-term June climatology of 24–26°C highs and recent model guidance showing limited warming under typical early-summer conditions. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data, consistent across multiple monitoring networks and unaffected by unusual synoptic patterns such as strong high-pressure systems or anomalous moisture transport. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range once observations are finalized, with resolution hinging on standardized daily maximum criteria. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post-hoc data revisions, station-specific microclimate differences, or definitional disputes over the exact observation window, though historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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