Recent observational data from official Mexican meteorological stations confirm daytime highs reaching or exceeding 27°C in Mexico City on June 2, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Early June marks the onset of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude conditions around 2,240 meters typically moderate extremes, yet warming trends and reduced cloud cover can push maxima above the 24–25°C June average. National weather service guidance and model consensus aligned with these elevated readings ahead of resolution. While measurement revisions at specific stations remain a low-probability factor, the alignment of multiple data sources supports the current trader positioning with minimal uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 2?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$24,563 Vol.
$24,563 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$24,563 Vol.
$24,563 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data from official Mexican meteorological stations confirm daytime highs reaching or exceeding 27°C in Mexico City on June 2, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Early June marks the onset of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude conditions around 2,240 meters typically moderate extremes, yet warming trends and reduced cloud cover can push maxima above the 24–25°C June average. National weather service guidance and model consensus aligned with these elevated readings ahead of resolution. While measurement revisions at specific stations remain a low-probability factor, the alignment of multiple data sources supports the current trader positioning with minimal uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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