Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 20, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's tight 31.5% and 29.5% probabilities for those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city's highland setting and early wet-season conditions—marked by increasing humidity, convective cloud build-up, and afternoon showers—typically limit peak temperatures through reduced insolation. Official guidance from regional models shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of cloud fields or localized rain, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C and 24°C nearly even in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 20?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 20?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$36,106 Vol.
$36,106 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$36,106 Vol.
$36,106 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
18°C or below
$1,478 Vol.
No
19°C
$252 Vol.
No
20°C
$530 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,744 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,204 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,015 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,865 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,287 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$4,283 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,585 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,863 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 20, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's tight 31.5% and 29.5% probabilities for those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city's highland setting and early wet-season conditions—marked by increasing humidity, convective cloud build-up, and afternoon showers—typically limit peak temperatures through reduced insolation. Official guidance from regional models shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of cloud fields or localized rain, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C and 24°C nearly even in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$36,106End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 20, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's tight 31.5% and 29.5% probabilities for those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city's highland setting and early wet-season conditions—marked by increasing humidity, convective cloud build-up, and afternoon showers—typically limit peak temperatures through reduced insolation. Official guidance from regional models shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of cloud fields or localized rain, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C and 24°C nearly even in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,106End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 20, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's tight 31.5% and 29.5% probabilities for those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city's highland setting and early wet-season conditions—marked by increasing humidity, convective cloud build-up, and afternoon showers—typically limit peak temperatures through reduced insolation. Official guidance from regional models shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of cloud fields or localized rain, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C and 24°C nearly even in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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