Official meteorological observations confirm Mexico City reached a daily maximum of 28°C on June 3, directly supporting the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. This aligns with early June climatology in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico, where daytime highs typically range 25–28°C amid the onset of the rainy season and seasonal solar heating. No major weather systems suppressed temperatures that day, consistent with regional model guidance and station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. While measurement timing or microclimate variations could theoretically affect single-station readings, the broad consensus across networks leaves little room for revision below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 3?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,689 Vol.
$20,689 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,689 Vol.
$20,689 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
16°C or below
$293 Vol.
No
17°C
$310 Vol.
No
18°C
$332 Vol.
No
19°C
$669 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,821 Vol.
No
21°C
$911 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,495 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,077 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,130 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,606 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$5,045 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm Mexico City reached a daily maximum of 28°C on June 3, directly supporting the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. This aligns with early June climatology in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico, where daytime highs typically range 25–28°C amid the onset of the rainy season and seasonal solar heating. No major weather systems suppressed temperatures that day, consistent with regional model guidance and station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. While measurement timing or microclimate variations could theoretically affect single-station readings, the broad consensus across networks leaves little room for revision below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$20,689End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm Mexico City reached a daily maximum of 28°C on June 3, directly supporting the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. This aligns with early June climatology in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico, where daytime highs typically range 25–28°C amid the onset of the rainy season and seasonal solar heating. No major weather systems suppressed temperatures that day, consistent with regional model guidance and station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. While measurement timing or microclimate variations could theoretically affect single-station readings, the broad consensus across networks leaves little room for revision below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,689End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations confirm Mexico City reached a daily maximum of 28°C on June 3, directly supporting the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. This aligns with early June climatology in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico, where daytime highs typically range 25–28°C amid the onset of the rainy season and seasonal solar heating. No major weather systems suppressed temperatures that day, consistent with regional model guidance and station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. While measurement timing or microclimate variations could theoretically affect single-station readings, the broad consensus across networks leaves little room for revision below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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