Official meteorological observations from Mexico City on June 4 recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C, aligning with typical early June highs at the city's high-elevation plateau under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate solar insolation. Long-term climatological averages place June peaks near 24–26°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or moisture surges from the Pacific or Gulf. This data point from authoritative surface stations drove the market-implied odds to near-certainty for 25°C. Minor variations in microsite placement, instrumentation calibration, or timing of peak measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value by 1°C, though such discrepancies remain rare in standardized reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 4?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,141 Vol.
$28,141 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,141 Vol.
$28,141 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
16°C or below
$826 Vol.
No
17°C
$455 Vol.
No
18°C
$696 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,325 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,937 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,856 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,424 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,508 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,445 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,929 Vol.
Yes
26°C or higher
$4,741 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City on June 4 recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C, aligning with typical early June highs at the city's high-elevation plateau under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate solar insolation. Long-term climatological averages place June peaks near 24–26°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or moisture surges from the Pacific or Gulf. This data point from authoritative surface stations drove the market-implied odds to near-certainty for 25°C. Minor variations in microsite placement, instrumentation calibration, or timing of peak measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value by 1°C, though such discrepancies remain rare in standardized reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$28,141End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City on June 4 recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C, aligning with typical early June highs at the city's high-elevation plateau under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate solar insolation. Long-term climatological averages place June peaks near 24–26°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or moisture surges from the Pacific or Gulf. This data point from authoritative surface stations drove the market-implied odds to near-certainty for 25°C. Minor variations in microsite placement, instrumentation calibration, or timing of peak measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value by 1°C, though such discrepancies remain rare in standardized reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,141End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Mexico City on June 4 recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C, aligning with typical early June highs at the city's high-elevation plateau under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate solar insolation. Long-term climatological averages place June peaks near 24–26°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or moisture surges from the Pacific or Gulf. This data point from authoritative surface stations drove the market-implied odds to near-certainty for 25°C. Minor variations in microsite placement, instrumentation calibration, or timing of peak measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value by 1°C, though such discrepancies remain rare in standardized reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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