Official observations from Milano Linate Airport—the primary meteorological station for Milan—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 23°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover in the afternoon limited further warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs that converged on a 22–24°C peak amid above-average April conditions influenced by persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. Historical April highs at Linate average 18–20°C, making 23°C plausibly warm but not extreme. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions by ARPA Lombardia or discrepancies from secondary urban stations, though final data validation is imminent with negligible probability of shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 29?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$76,882 Vol.
$76,882 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$76,882 Vol.
$76,882 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
16°C or below
$1,764 Vol.
No
17°C
$825 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,220 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,807 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,490 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,703 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,266 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,411 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$18,598 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,811 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$10,989 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Linate Airport—the primary meteorological station for Milan—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 23°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover in the afternoon limited further warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs that converged on a 22–24°C peak amid above-average April conditions influenced by persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. Historical April highs at Linate average 18–20°C, making 23°C plausibly warm but not extreme. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions by ARPA Lombardia or discrepancies from secondary urban stations, though final data validation is imminent with negligible probability of shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$76,882End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Linate Airport—the primary meteorological station for Milan—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 23°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover in the afternoon limited further warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs that converged on a 22–24°C peak amid above-average April conditions influenced by persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. Historical April highs at Linate average 18–20°C, making 23°C plausibly warm but not extreme. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions by ARPA Lombardia or discrepancies from secondary urban stations, though final data validation is imminent with negligible probability of shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76,882End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Milano Linate Airport—the primary meteorological station for Milan—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached 23°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover in the afternoon limited further warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs that converged on a 22–24°C peak amid above-average April conditions influenced by persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. Historical April highs at Linate average 18–20°C, making 23°C plausibly warm but not extreme. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions by ARPA Lombardia or discrepancies from secondary urban stations, though final data validation is imminent with negligible probability of shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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