**Trader sentiment for Panama City's July 5 high clusters tightly around 31–32 °C because typical wet-season conditions produce modest day-to-day variability in peak temperature.** In July the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce surface insolation and cap daytime maxima near the long-term July average of ~30–31 °C. Light trade-wind flow and high boundary-layer humidity further limit extreme heating while allowing brief windows of clearer skies that can push readings 1–2 °C higher. With no major synoptic shifts or tropical systems expected in the next 24 hours, model consensus shows only small differences in cloud timing and coverage, leaving 31 °C and 32 °C as nearly equiprobable outcomes. Resolution will hinge on the precise timing and intensity of local convection, which official observations will capture at the primary reporting station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 5?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$30,270 Vol.
$30,270 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$30,270 Vol.
$30,270 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader sentiment for Panama City's July 5 high clusters tightly around 31–32 °C because typical wet-season conditions produce modest day-to-day variability in peak temperature.** In July the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce surface insolation and cap daytime maxima near the long-term July average of ~30–31 °C. Light trade-wind flow and high boundary-layer humidity further limit extreme heating while allowing brief windows of clearer skies that can push readings 1–2 °C higher. With no major synoptic shifts or tropical systems expected in the next 24 hours, model consensus shows only small differences in cloud timing and coverage, leaving 31 °C and 32 °C as nearly equiprobable outcomes. Resolution will hinge on the precise timing and intensity of local convection, which official observations will capture at the primary reporting station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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