Recent National Weather Service guidance and regional model consensus place Panama City’s June 26 high near 31–32 °C (88–90 °F), aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. Late-June climatology features peak solar insolation and Gulf moisture, producing typical afternoon highs of 30–33 °C, modulated by the timing and coverage of sea-breeze thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly drier or later-developing storm pattern favors 32 °C, while earlier or more widespread convection supports 30–31 °C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, traders are weighting the latest model runs and mesonet observations that will refine these small but decisive variables before tomorrow’s peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 26?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 26?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$28,422 Vol.
$28,422 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$28,422 Vol.
$28,422 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
25°C or below
$1,541 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,004 Vol.
No
27°C
$736 Vol.
No
28°C
$828 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,896 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,808 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$2,706 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,054 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,497 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,990 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,364 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and regional model consensus place Panama City’s June 26 high near 31–32 °C (88–90 °F), aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. Late-June climatology features peak solar insolation and Gulf moisture, producing typical afternoon highs of 30–33 °C, modulated by the timing and coverage of sea-breeze thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly drier or later-developing storm pattern favors 32 °C, while earlier or more widespread convection supports 30–31 °C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, traders are weighting the latest model runs and mesonet observations that will refine these small but decisive variables before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$28,422End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and regional model consensus place Panama City’s June 26 high near 31–32 °C (88–90 °F), aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. Late-June climatology features peak solar insolation and Gulf moisture, producing typical afternoon highs of 30–33 °C, modulated by the timing and coverage of sea-breeze thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly drier or later-developing storm pattern favors 32 °C, while earlier or more widespread convection supports 30–31 °C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, traders are weighting the latest model runs and mesonet observations that will refine these small but decisive variables before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,422End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service guidance and regional model consensus place Panama City’s June 26 high near 31–32 °C (88–90 °F), aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. Late-June climatology features peak solar insolation and Gulf moisture, producing typical afternoon highs of 30–33 °C, modulated by the timing and coverage of sea-breeze thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly drier or later-developing storm pattern favors 32 °C, while earlier or more widespread convection supports 30–31 °C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, traders are weighting the latest model runs and mesonet observations that will refine these small but decisive variables before tomorrow’s peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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