The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,467 Vol.
$21,467 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,467 Vol.
$21,467 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
21°C or below
$129 Vol.
No
22°C
$146 Vol.
No
23°C
$202 Vol.
No
24°C
$141 Vol.
No
25°C
$156 Vol.
No
26°C
$353 Vol.
No
27°C
$653 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,669 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,391 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,385 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$7,243 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$21,467End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,467End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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