Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPTO), reflecting robust forecast model agreement from NOAA and regional guidance projecting peaks around 31–33°C under persistent clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical May climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands. Daily highs rarely dip below 29°C historically during this shoulder season, with minimal convective activity disrupting heating today. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric conditions over the past week, including suppressed rainfall from a strengthening subtropical ridge. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in intertropical convergence zone activity bringing afternoon thunderstorms or unforecasted marine layer persistence, though probabilities remain below 5% per ensemble models; intraday observations from MPTO will confirm resolution later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 5?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 5?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,221 Vol.
$14,221 Vol.
May 5, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,221 Vol.
$14,221 Vol.
May 5, 2026
19°C or below
$1,480 Vol.
No
20°C
$883 Vol.
No
21°C
$618 Vol.
No
22°C
$973 Vol.
No
23°C
$568 Vol.
No
24°C
$589 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,051 Vol.
No
26°C
$869 Vol.
No
27°C
$977 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,675 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,537 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPTO), reflecting robust forecast model agreement from NOAA and regional guidance projecting peaks around 31–33°C under persistent clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical May climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands. Daily highs rarely dip below 29°C historically during this shoulder season, with minimal convective activity disrupting heating today. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric conditions over the past week, including suppressed rainfall from a strengthening subtropical ridge. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in intertropical convergence zone activity bringing afternoon thunderstorms or unforecasted marine layer persistence, though probabilities remain below 5% per ensemble models; intraday observations from MPTO will confirm resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$14,221End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPTO), reflecting robust forecast model agreement from NOAA and regional guidance projecting peaks around 31–33°C under persistent clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical May climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands. Daily highs rarely dip below 29°C historically during this shoulder season, with minimal convective activity disrupting heating today. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric conditions over the past week, including suppressed rainfall from a strengthening subtropical ridge. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in intertropical convergence zone activity bringing afternoon thunderstorms or unforecasted marine layer persistence, though probabilities remain below 5% per ensemble models; intraday observations from MPTO will confirm resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,221End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPTO), reflecting robust forecast model agreement from NOAA and regional guidance projecting peaks around 31–33°C under persistent clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical May climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands. Daily highs rarely dip below 29°C historically during this shoulder season, with minimal convective activity disrupting heating today. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric conditions over the past week, including suppressed rainfall from a strengthening subtropical ridge. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in intertropical convergence zone activity bringing afternoon thunderstorms or unforecasted marine layer persistence, though probabilities remain below 5% per ensemble models; intraday observations from MPTO will confirm resolution later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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