Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for San Francisco on September 7 points to a high near 73–77°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with light northwest winds and minimal marine-layer influence. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins, as the city’s typical September average high is 70°F but recent clear, warmer conditions across the Bay Area have supported modest above-normal readings. Key variables include the strength of onshore flow versus any brief offshore component that could allow greater warming, plus exact timing of cloud dissipation at the downtown observing site. Historical data show highs in the upper 70s occur several times per decade in early September, while sustained marine cooling keeps most days closer to 70°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 7?
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
69°F or below
$123 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$128 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$82 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$55 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$113 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
3%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for San Francisco on September 7 points to a high near 73–77°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with light northwest winds and minimal marine-layer influence. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins, as the city’s typical September average high is 70°F but recent clear, warmer conditions across the Bay Area have supported modest above-normal readings. Key variables include the strength of onshore flow versus any brief offshore component that could allow greater warming, plus exact timing of cloud dissipation at the downtown observing site. Historical data show highs in the upper 70s occur several times per decade in early September, while sustained marine cooling keeps most days closer to 70°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$541End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for San Francisco on September 7 points to a high near 73–77°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with light northwest winds and minimal marine-layer influence. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins, as the city’s typical September average high is 70°F but recent clear, warmer conditions across the Bay Area have supported modest above-normal readings. Key variables include the strength of onshore flow versus any brief offshore component that could allow greater warming, plus exact timing of cloud dissipation at the downtown observing site. Historical data show highs in the upper 70s occur several times per decade in early September, while sustained marine cooling keeps most days closer to 70°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$541End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for San Francisco on September 7 points to a high near 73–77°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with light northwest winds and minimal marine-layer influence. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins, as the city’s typical September average high is 70°F but recent clear, warmer conditions across the Bay Area have supported modest above-normal readings. Key variables include the strength of onshore flow versus any brief offshore component that could allow greater warming, plus exact timing of cloud dissipation at the downtown observing site. Historical data show highs in the upper 70s occur several times per decade in early September, while sustained marine cooling keeps most days closer to 70°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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