**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 7 point to a daytime high near 30–33°C amid typical wet-season conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (29.0%).** Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network currently indicate highs of roughly 30–33°C (about 86–91°F), with scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms. These storms, driven by high humidity, daytime heating, and the Intertropical Convergence Zone, often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C for daily maxima, so the slight upward tilt in current outlooks reflects short-term model runs showing marginally stronger insolation or weaker convective inhibition. The 33°C-or-higher bucket (14.5%) remains plausible if morning clearing allows stronger heating before storms develop, while lower outcomes (30°C or below) would require earlier or more widespread rain. With resolution only two days away, updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) on wind, moisture, and timing of convection will be the key near-term drivers of any further shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
31°C 41%
32°C 29%
33°C or higher 13%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
7%
31°C
41%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
13%
31°C 41%
32°C 29%
33°C or higher 13%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$21 Vol.
41%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C or higher
$22 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 7 point to a daytime high near 30–33°C amid typical wet-season conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (29.0%).**
Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network currently indicate highs of roughly 30–33°C (about 86–91°F), with scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms. These storms, driven by high humidity, daytime heating, and the Intertropical Convergence Zone, often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C for daily maxima, so the slight upward tilt in current outlooks reflects short-term model runs showing marginally stronger insolation or weaker convective inhibition.
The 33°C-or-higher bucket (14.5%) remains plausible if morning clearing allows stronger heating before storms develop, while lower outcomes (30°C or below) would require earlier or more widespread rain. With resolution only two days away, updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) on wind, moisture, and timing of convection will be the key near-term drivers of any further shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$43End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 7 point to a daytime high near 30–33°C amid typical wet-season conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (29.0%).**
Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network currently indicate highs of roughly 30–33°C (about 86–91°F), with scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms. These storms, driven by high humidity, daytime heating, and the Intertropical Convergence Zone, often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C for daily maxima, so the slight upward tilt in current outlooks reflects short-term model runs showing marginally stronger insolation or weaker convective inhibition.
The 33°C-or-higher bucket (14.5%) remains plausible if morning clearing allows stronger heating before storms develop, while lower outcomes (30°C or below) would require earlier or more widespread rain. With resolution only two days away, updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) on wind, moisture, and timing of convection will be the key near-term drivers of any further shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 7 point to a daytime high near 30–33°C amid typical wet-season conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (29.0%).** Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network currently indicate highs of roughly 30–33°C (about 86–91°F), with scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms. These storms, driven by high humidity, daytime heating, and the Intertropical Convergence Zone, often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C for daily maxima, so the slight upward tilt in current outlooks reflects short-term model runs showing marginally stronger insolation or weaker convective inhibition. The 33°C-or-higher bucket (14.5%) remains plausible if morning clearing allows stronger heating before storms develop, while lower outcomes (30°C or below) would require earlier or more widespread rain. With resolution only two days away, updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) on wind, moisture, and timing of convection will be the key near-term drivers of any further shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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