**Forecast models and official outlooks from Singapore's Meteorological Service currently favor a daily maximum near 33°C on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 56% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent southwest monsoon conditions are delivering fair, occasionally windy weather with limited cloud cover and minimal rainfall, allowing surface heating under typical equatorial insolation. Early-September climatology shows mean highs of 31.6°C, with daily maxima often reaching 33–35°C during dry spells; recent regional hotspot activity and below-average precipitation have reinforced these warmer tendencies without pushing extremes. Hourly guidance from multiple sources peaks in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius around midday, while the low 18.5% odds on 32°C reflect modest cooling risks from localized showers. Updated National Environment Agency observations and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on September 6?
33°C 63%
32°C 20%
34°C 15%
31°C 10%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
20%
33°C
63%
34°C
15%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
32°C 20%
34°C 15%
31°C 10%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
20%
33°C
63%
34°C
15%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official outlooks from Singapore's Meteorological Service currently favor a daily maximum near 33°C on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 56% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent southwest monsoon conditions are delivering fair, occasionally windy weather with limited cloud cover and minimal rainfall, allowing surface heating under typical equatorial insolation. Early-September climatology shows mean highs of 31.6°C, with daily maxima often reaching 33–35°C during dry spells; recent regional hotspot activity and below-average precipitation have reinforced these warmer tendencies without pushing extremes. Hourly guidance from multiple sources peaks in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius around midday, while the low 18.5% odds on 32°C reflect modest cooling risks from localized showers. Updated National Environment Agency observations and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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