Current forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light to moderate easterly or southeasterly winds over Cape Town on September 6, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under clear skies. This exceeds the long-term September average high near 18°C, driven by seasonal spring warming and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters around 25–27°C because small differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, or exact peak timing across ensembles can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Stronger southeasterly flow would enhance cooling from the Benguela Current, while calmer conditions favor higher readings near 28°C. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
26°C 32%
27°C 27%
28°C 18%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
32%
27°C
27%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 27%
28°C 18%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$91 Vol.
2%
24°C
$76 Vol.
6%
25°C
$61 Vol.
14%
26°C
$66 Vol.
32%
27°C
$733 Vol.
27%
28°C
$134 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light to moderate easterly or southeasterly winds over Cape Town on September 6, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under clear skies. This exceeds the long-term September average high near 18°C, driven by seasonal spring warming and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters around 25–27°C because small differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, or exact peak timing across ensembles can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Stronger southeasterly flow would enhance cooling from the Benguela Current, while calmer conditions favor higher readings near 28°C. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,166End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light to moderate easterly or southeasterly winds over Cape Town on September 6, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under clear skies. This exceeds the long-term September average high near 18°C, driven by seasonal spring warming and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters around 25–27°C because small differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, or exact peak timing across ensembles can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Stronger southeasterly flow would enhance cooling from the Benguela Current, while calmer conditions favor higher readings near 28°C. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,166End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light to moderate easterly or southeasterly winds over Cape Town on September 6, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under clear skies. This exceeds the long-term September average high near 18°C, driven by seasonal spring warming and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters around 25–27°C because small differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, or exact peak timing across ensembles can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Stronger southeasterly flow would enhance cooling from the Benguela Current, while calmer conditions favor higher readings near 28°C. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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